Thursday, December 5, 2002

Is Japan Trying

This question may seem a strange one, but appears to be worth asking since one US economist after another has been suggesting that, one way or another, the Japanese are simply not trying to find a way of getting out of their mess. First Cecchetti got the ball rolling with the following in the Financial Times:

"What about the zero nominal interest-rate floor, the point at which

Monday, December 2, 2002

Japanese Unemployment Continues to Rise

Japan's industrial production fell last month and families cut their spending after unemployment rose to a record high, adding strength to the growing view that Japan's economic recovery may be running out of steam. Of course much of the future for unemployment now depends on what really happens in the wake of the NPL debate.

Production unexpectedly fell
Japan: What is The Economist Missing

According to the Economist it WAS just possible to find a nugget of good news about Japan�s economy on November 19th. However rose-tinted glasses, they suggest, were needed to spot it. On a day which saw another round of declines in the share prices of Japan�s biggest bank the Organisation for Economic Co-operation and Development (OECD) changed its mind
Japan Banks Claim to Tackle Non-Performing Loans

According to the Financial Times there are signs the pressure being put on Japan's banks to deal with their bad loans is starting to bear fruit in the fact that the country's largest lenders used the publication of their first half results to simultaneously announce more aggressive action to tackle the problem. my feeling is it would be better to

Tuesday, November 19, 2002

New OECD Study on Japan

The Organisation for Economic Cooperation and Development (OECD) has published a new economic survey for Japan. The OECD urges the Bank of Japan to ease monetary policy significantly, arguing that its existing actions have not worked and that the time has come to adopt a 'more adventurous' strategy. In the report the OECD argues that the central bank of the world's

Saturday, November 16, 2002

Who's in charge in Japan?

As I have already indicated (see blog post immediately below) there is considerable doubt and consusion about where exactly Japan is headed right now, and about what will be the real impact of Takenaka's reform programme. Morgan Stanley's Robert Alan Feldman seem to be in no doubt:


The media were wrong. A week ago, when the initial reports on the new plan for
Japanese Banks Set to Slash Lending

According to the Asahi Shimbun the toughening in Tokyo's bad-loan stance is forcing Japanese banks to react. The NBL disposal program being developed under Heizo Takenaka, minister for financial affairs and economic and fiscal policy, is supposed to make banks strictly appraise loans and set aside additional loss reserves to counter bad loans expected to